ODIs: The innings which woke up the dead and put watchers to sleep

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Our expert gives you a run-down of Test and ODI batting performances that have super fast or slow scoring rates. Recall any?

I went back over the CastrolCricket folder and suddenly realized that I had not covered the important measure of innings scoring rates in both Tests and ODIs. In ODIs, I have the complete balls-played data and it is not very difficult to extract the same.

As the tongue-in-cheek title says, these are innings which would have got the cemeteries come alive. When someone scores at the rate of around 15 runs per over, that is what is likely to happen. The cut-off is that the innings should have reached the half-century mark. This is needed to separate the cameos, about which I have covered earlier.

Shahid Afridi is the only batsman to have gone past a strike rate of  300 under these cut-off conditions. Granted it was against the Dutch bowlers; however, still a stupendous effort. McCullum’s innings is legend. New Zealand reached their target of 95 in 6, yes; it is not a misprint, 6 overs. Jamie How, at the other hand, dawdled to 7 in 8 balls.

The next innings, Jayasuriya’s blitz, unfortunately finished on the losing side. Chasing 216 to win, Sri Lanka reached 96 for 1 in the 9th over when Jayasuriya got out. They then collapsed to 172. Only one other innings, Sammy’s wonderful 58 finished on the losing side.

Note that Shahid Afridi owns 3 of the top 7 innings. McCullum and Boucher have two innings each.
Now for those who forgot that there was an ODI game going on and played innings which would have put Test spectators to sleep. The criteria is that the innings should be 25 balls or more. Then the scoring rate takes over.

Morton came in 0 for 1 after a first-ball duck and then proceeded to defend the next 31 balls. He had the mortification of getting out without breaking the duck. No wonder West Indies lost comfortably.

What does one say of Chigumbura, with a career strike rate of 83, while scoring 2700+ runs, scores a 0 in 27 balls, for a team chasing 125. It was certainly not a match-winning innings although Zimbabwe managed to reach their target in the 50th over. A few more balls to Chigumbura and Bangladesh might have won.

Mutizwa did no better. His 27-ball 0 did not exactly help Zimbabawe’s chase of 254.

Vijay Mehra scored his 34-ball 1 batting at no.4. R.D.King, on the other hand, scored his patient one-run innings, batting at no.10. It is not a surprise that most of these were in losing causes.

India vs. Australia: Player head-to-head

Friday, December 23, 2011

Who holds the advantage in India’s much awaited tour of Australia? Our expert looks at a man-versus-man analysis and thinks the visitors have a slight edge.

India is set to take on Australia in what should be a competitive four match series. This is about as good a chance India will have to win a series Down Under since they’ll be going up against an inexperienced Aussie side that’s in the midst of transition. India, for their part, has had a poor year in Tests given their form in 2009 and 2010. The West Indies tour was an unconvincing 1-0 victory and the England debacle is still fresh in most people’s memory. A series victory in Australia is just what the team needs in an effort to climb back to the top of the Test rankings.

For the Boxing Day Test at the MCG, Australia has named their 13-man squad. The final XI will come down to a toss-up between Hilfenhaus and Starc for the third seamer position and a fitness decision on Shaun Marsh. Marsh will play and bat at three if fit, else Daniel Christian will get in and bat at six.

The Indian batting line-up selects itself assuming everyone stays fit, with Kohli joining the ‘Fab Five’ of Tendulkar, Dravid, Laxman, Sehwag and Gambhir. The bowling line-up is less certain with questions on Ishant’s fitness - you’ll probably end up with Zaheer, Ishant (if fit), one of Umesh Yadav/Abhimanyu Mithun/Vinay Kumar/Varun Aaron with Ashwin and Ojha fighting for the spinner spot. In doing my player head-to-head, I assumed India will end up going with Umesh and Ashwin.

Below is a snapshot of the player head-to-head by position.

What stands out is Australia’s lack of experience. On the bowling front, Zaheer Khan has more wickets in his career than the entire Australia team combined. With the batting, Australia will have Cowan, Warner and Marsh/Christian who between them have 5 Test matches worth of experience. If you did a head-to-head down the list, here’s what my picks would be:

Australia 0-1 India: Sehwag over Cowan, though watch out for Cowan - he’s been in good form on the domestic circuit and impressed with a century in the tour game

Australia 0.5-1.5 India: Calling it even between Warner and Gambhir, based on Warner’s early credentials and form to counter Gambhir’s experience

Australia 0.5-2.5 India: Dravid over Marsh, easy pick

Australia 1-3 India: Called it even on Tendulkar and Ponting, since Sachin has not had a great year and Ponting is starting to look better (plus he’s going to be out to prove a point in this series, which is when he is at his most dangerous)

Australia 1.5-3.5 India: Clarke-Laxman is another difficult one, I would have picked Laxman 3 months ago but Clarke’s looked good lately with 3 hundreds in his last 8 innings, called it even

Australia 2.5-3.5 India: Mr. Cricket ahead of an inexperienced Kohli

Australia 2.5-4.5 India: Wasn’t easy picking Dhoni over Haddin (this is one I am the least sure of, Dhoni was outplayed by Prior on India’s last overseas tour), but Dhoni tends to come good when it counts

Australia 3-5 India: Ashwin vs. Lyon seems like a dead heat, and should be one of the more intriguing battles this summer

Australia 3-6 India: Zaheer Khan over any Aussie bowler, assuming Zak stays fit

Australia 3.5-6.5 India: I would have picked Ishant if not for his fitness concerns, throw in anyone else (Mithun, Vinay Kumar and Aaron) and I’d give the advantage to Starc/Hilfenhaus with the home advantage, calling it even for now

Australia 4.5-6.5 India: Pattinson has looked very promising in his two Tests so far, expect him to cause the Indian batsmen some trouble

Overall, the head-to-head is a fairly close one but India wins 6.5-4.5. Whether that translates into success on the field is something only time will tell, for now I’ll go with a prediction of India winning the series 2-1.